不谋全局者不足以谋一域
国别政治安全风险报告--方法和内容简介
Country Risk Report: Methodology & Contents
1 运用多家国际著名机构衡量政治安全风险标准，对一国风险状况给予基础分数；
2 分析中国与该国的双边关系性质及状态，再权衡后给出基本分数；
3 考量该国近期发生的重要政治经济文化事件进行再平衡：负面事件减分；正面事件加分；计算后给出该国最后风险分数。
4 调查案例，给出企业具体实用的报告，无抽象空洞的分析
5 提出对策建议，多种方案备选。
战略报告要点：
1 自2017年后中美关系发生根本转变，目前正在形成以美欧日为一方，以中俄为另一方的两大阵营在全球较量的新格局。
2 两大正营的战略对抗正在成为中国企业在全球各大洲政治安全风险的主要来源，带来巨大的不确定性。
3 全球范围的贸易保护主义和双边自由贸易区的安排正在重新改造世界范围内的经济、金融和贸易规则和制度安排。这些变化对中国企业走向世界带来风险和挑战十分重要。
4 在这些大背景下，全球热点地区和文化冲突将对中国企业走向世界形成巨大风险，必须未雨绸缪，预案在先。
5中国经济下行走势如何变化以及中国国际战略的调整对中国企业至关重要......
中国公司海外最大政治安全风险前十名国家排行榜说明
1 此排行榜只适用于在海外投资经商的中国公司。
2 排行榜国家先后顺序是按我们国别政治安全风险评估模型对各项因子进行权重分析后得出的分数多少排列。
3 我们评估模型中的计算因子包括：国际著名机构政治安全风险标准，同中国双边关系状态，近期重大政治安全事件和未来发展趋势。
4 此排行榜每年更新一次。
Note:
1 This ranking is only made for Chinese companies doing business overseas.
2 The Countries on the list are ranked according to overall political risk scores.
3 Factors weighing the score include well-known international organizations such as the UN, bilaterial relations with China, recent major risk events and future development trends.
4 This ranking is valid for one year. Updates will be available afterwards.
指南要点：
1 在中美新冷战大背景下，中国高科技公司受到欧美围堵：国家如何搭台，企业怎么唱戏；全球高科技产业竞争高度政治化。
2 各国政治司法体制各异，搭台唱戏路数千差万别，风险不同，应对有异。
3 同中国政治经济贸易关系水平参差不齐，中国高科技企业境遇差别巨大，预案完全不同。
4 各国营商环境一览多数处在中游，但其中不少问题，中国高科技企业必须小心中招。
5主要风险点和对策。实地调查，实用对策。
调查报告要点：
1中美在非洲大陆的角逐全面升级，带来政治安全的不确定；“翻烙饼”现象增多。
2非洲各国政治状况各异，北部非洲政治动乱和恐怖主义是主要危险；中部非洲部族冲突普遍；南部非洲除南非外，营商环境较差。
3中非关系处在历史最好时期，中国企业占据优势，但不确定性也很大。
4营商环境总体落后，宗教文化背景又为中资企业经营管理带来挑战和风险。
5尽职调查，多种对策。
调查报告目录：
1 中美两国的战略对抗在拉美愈演愈烈；
2 拉美还是美国的“后院儿“吗？门罗主义幽灵在徘徊；
3 不确定性的案例：巴西和巴拿马；
4 拉美营商环境之评估：世界银行的视角；
5 具体案例分析：巴西、阿根廷、秘鲁、墨西哥、巴拿马、智利、乌拉圭、委内瑞拉---迷宫和黑洞；
6 尽职调查，一国一策；带着预案闯拉美。
美欧对外国投资安全审查制度
实用指南要点
1美欧安全审查的由来及针对性
2美国严格审查中国投资的历史和典型案例
3欧洲对中国投资审查日益加强
4美国对中国投资审查未来趋势和特点
5中国企业如何应对及对策建议
联合国及欧美制裁体系手册要点
1 国际制裁体系的由来和特点
2 典型剖析：美国的制裁法规效力及边界
3“长臂管辖权”和“治外法权”辩异
4 世界上几个主要的受制裁的国家：俄罗斯、伊朗、叙利亚、朝鲜、古巴、委内瑞拉等
5 合理规避与合规管理
6 对策及建议
我们的国别政治安全风险评估方法
Our Methodology
中国投资者面临的全球政治安全风险及战略
Major Political Risk Facing Chinese Businesses in the World in Coming Years: A Strategic Report
Key Points of the Strategic Report
1The two global political blocs are emerging: China and Russian are on one side, while the U.S. the EU and Japan are on the other side。
2The rivalry and worldwide struggles between the two blocs have brought huge levels of political, security and economic uncertainty to Chinese companies going global.
3 Worldwide protectionism and the rebuilding of the world economic and trade orders based on fair competitions -along with new rules and regulations - have created enormous challenges and risks for Chinese companies.
4 Chinese companies must have well-prepared options and plans for conflicts and violence in hot spots around the world.
5 China' s economic downturn and new international strategies give Chinese companies.....
1 Baseline scores for political risks are given based on a number of well-known international organizations such as the UN and World Bank,etc.
2 "China Factor" and ongoing events are weighed in the measurement process and appraised in order to obtain final risk scores for a targeted country.
3 Due diligence studies of available cases in targeted countryies are obtained for field reports and analyses.
4 Policy suggestions with multiple options available for clients.
中国高科技企业走向世界政治安全风险控制指南
Practical Guide for Political and Security Risks Control
Among China's High-Tech Companies Going Global
非洲国家政治安全及营商环境风险管理调查
Due Diligence Report on Political and Business Risk Management for African Countries
拉美国家政治安全及营商环境风险管理调查
Investigative Rerpot on Political and Business Risk Management for Latin American Countries
美国及欧洲国家投资安全审查体系与应对实用指南
Quick Guide to foreign investment review laws and regulations in the U.S. and European countries
联合国及欧美国家制裁体系风险控制手册
Handbook of the Political and Economic Sanction Frameworks of the United Nations and Western Countries
国别政治风险报告 - 哈萨克斯坦
1 哈萨克斯坦的战略地位和政局特点
2 哈国政治安全风险实地考察与分析
3 哈国营商环境指标分析-优势与弱点
4 哈国与中国双边关系战略地位和经贸
框架机制
5 中国企业在哈国投资的具体问题
6 中国企业面临的主要政治安全风险
7 解决方案选项和须知
(按此分析模式，我们还提供一带一路其他国家政治安全风险分析调查报告，如俄罗斯、土耳其、印度尼西、巴基斯坦、阿富汗、非洲和拉美主要国家等等。)
国别政治安全风险及营商环境风险控制实地调查
Country Political Risk and Doing Business Indicators Analysis Report
每月政治安全风险资讯简报-目录
1政治军事
2经济金融
3社会文化
4地缘政治
（每月初出品，集当月政治军事、经济金融、社会文化和国际政经有关政治安全风险的重要事件动态，让读者对已经和将要发生风险胸中有数，及时制定对策。中英文版本同时发布）
每月政治安全风险资讯简报
Worldwide Political Risks Monthly Newsletter
Guideline Key Points:
1 Oppotunities and challenges for Chinese high-tech companies include: government-sponsored platforms and highly politicalized enviroments.
2 Countries have different political and cultural traditions which mean various ways of investing and doing business for Chinese high-tech companies.
3 Different levels of bilaterial relations with China means there are different ways to avoid risks and traps.
4 We offer field investigation reports and options aimed at resolving problems tailored to meet the real needs of our clients.
Key Points of the Report
1 Increasing rivalry between the U.S. and China on the African continent brings more political risk and uncertainty.
2 Political situations in African countries differ due to a terrorist focus in the north, tribal conflicts in the middle, poor conditions for doing business in the south.
3 Sino-African relations are in the best possible state, but criticism is mounting.
4 Our due diligent report offer more options for clients to help them meet those challenges.
Report Table of Contents
1 The strategic competition between the U.S. and China is a big play in the Latin America.
2 Is Latin America still a U.S.backyard? The soul of Monroe Doctrin still lingers.
3 Examples of uncertainty: Brasil and Panama.
4 Analysis of conditions fpr doing business in Latin America from the World Bank's perspectives.
5 Case studies: Brasil, Agentina, Peru, Mexico, Chile, Uragay,Panama, Venezuela,including myths and blackholes.
6 Due Diligence Report, with specific solutions for each country.
Practical Guide to Foreign Investment Review Frameworks in Western Countries
1 Foreign Investment Review System: History and Targets.
2 The U.S. Case: Studies of the Rigorous Reviews of Chinese Investments.
3 The European Case: More Laws and Regulations Against Chinese Firms.
4 Future Trends and Features under Reviews.
5 How to Cope with These Rising Barriers.
Key Points of the Handbook
1 International sanction frameworks and mechanisms.
2 U.S. sanction laws and rules: effects and boundaries.
3 "Long Arm" jurisdiction and extraterritoriality.
4 Major countries on the sanction black list.
5 Rigorous comliance and legal evasion.
6 Tips on options.
China Political Risks Monthly Newsletter (Table of Contents)
1 Politics & Military
2 Economy & Finance
3 Society & Culture
4 Geopolitics
(Updates about important political,economic ,cultural and international engagements with risk reminders for our subscribers. Both Chinese and English versions are released at the beginning of every month.)
Country Rist Report: the Republic of Kazakhstan
1 Kazakhstan: Strategic location and politics features.
2 Field investigation and analysis of political security risk.
3 Doing business indicators: Strong and weak points.
4 Bilaterial relations between Kazakhstan and China.
5 Problems for Chinese companies in Kazakhstan.
6 Tips and options.
(We have similar reports for many other countries.)
全球营商环境最差国家排行榜说明
1 此排行榜数据来自世界银行2020最新营商环境报告，之后世行未公布新的报告。
2 此排行榜数据没有涉及双边关系.宏观经济金融制度环境和个案事件因素。
3 此排行榜将根据世行最新报告而更新。
Note:
1 The data source for this ranking comes from the latest World Bank Doing Business Report in 2020, afterwards World Bank has not released new report.
2 The data for this ranking does not include factors such as macro economic and financial factors, bilaterial relations and recent major risk events.
3 Updates will be available when the World Bank releases a new report.
2026全球重大政治安全风险事件预测表说明
1 本预测表是根据我们的全球政治安全风险分析模型做出。
2 本预测表数据每年更新一次。
Note:
1 This forecast is made according to our exclusive global geopolitical risk analysis model.
2 The data in this forecast table will be updated every year.
政治
风险
警示
Political Risk Alerts
政治
风险
警示
Political Risk Alerts
2026年重大政治安全风险警示
Worldwide Political Risk Alerts in 2026
1 在美国川普新政府的强大压力下，俄乌战争走向政治解决，双方停战。俄占领近20%的领 土，乌获得欧美有约束力的安全保障。
2 美欧政治军事联盟发生新变化，中美欧三边关系重新调整，东西方新冷战进入新阶段。
3 西方和以色列主宰了中东政治军事新版图，俄罗斯伊朗和激进伊斯兰势力的影响力式微。
4 中美欧三方开打贸易战，中欧经济走弱，美国金融霸权进一步稳固，世界经济贸易格局重新分化。
1 Russian-Ukrainian War comes to a cease fire under the strong pressure of the Trump Administration with Russia's occupation of nearly 20% Ukrainian territories.
2 The alliance between the United States and Europe is going apart, the new east-west cold war enters a new phase.
3 Israel and its strong ally, the U.S., has dominates the new landscape of the middle east.
4 The world trade landscape is changing with the European and Chinease economies still on decline.
Going GLobal Means Being Local
